♦️ This is a winning strategy where numbers are no longer essential. It’s because in the modern ages, Alpha is generated by following the narrative. You see, the human brain can actively hold only 4 to 7 pieces of information at a time. But there are thousands of data points we can find with a…

Sustained near 4% inflation in Japan is a colossal development in global financial markets no one talks about. It allows the BoJ to continue raising rates and this has insane consequences. 🧾 Since 2012, Yen has been getting weaker against the dollar. About 50%, to be exact. That means if you held Nikkei225 which over…

Europe is in the game of thrones between two opposing inflations. China is exporting deflation, US is exporting inflation. China has seen an implosion of demand, so to counter this they devalue Yuan which deflates the prices of goods produced in China. For Europe, it means lower car, household item and similar, prices. It’s essentially…

Saudi Arabia is the new Unlimited-money hub for private equity and consultants. But it’s still early and it may have the highest returns on the planet right now. Everyone has heard of Saudi mega-projects like “The Line”, “Trojena” or the “Oxagon”. But billions of dollars that are being spent there is just a cherry on…

originally published on 2025-01 This is why Gold is rising even though there is no demand for it. It’s bonkers. This 140 pages document was where I got my answer. If you look into any of the supply/demand charts of gold, you will quickly notice that demand has been flat while the supply has gone…

Do you notice two major trends in the chart below? These are shaping our world. 1️⃣Europe is incredibly cyclical and at the bottom. However, first signs of recovery are here. Current crisis, which lasts for almost 2 years, can also be seen in the stock market. EU stocks are dragging US by historical margins. With…

Originally published on 2025-01 FED is in trouble? If past tells us anything about the future- recession is literally around the corner. But the market will give it a try making this time different. First of all, every single time:– 10Y – 2Y sharply reverses up,– Unemployment starts rising,– Inflation sharply goes down after a…

Chinese 10Y yield is now below 1.7%. The implications of this is absolutely bazookas and may lead to insane US performance, similar to what happened with Japan in the early 1990s. The 1.7% long term rates imply flight to safety and deflationary pressures. At the same time Yuan is depreciating making sure not a single…